Markets Pre-Open (1:30 PM UTC / 9:30 AM ET)
US INDICES (PRIOR CLOSE)
- S&P 500: 7,575.76 (+0.43%) — intraday now 7,551.59 (-0.31%)
- Dow: 52,637.01 (+0.29%) — intraday now 52,684.45 (+0.09%)
- Nasdaq: 26,281.61 (+0.29%) — intraday now 26,093.60 (-0.72%)
- Russell 2000: 2,981.79 (-0.36%)
- VIX: 15.32 (-3.28%) — subdued despite geopolitical noise
FUTURES (EUROPE MID-SESSION)
- FTSE 100: 10,497.29 (+0.24%)
- DAX: 25,067.09 (-0.20%)
- CAC 40: 8,338.97 (+0.15%)
- EURO STOXX 50: 6,257.86 (-0.42%)
ASIA OVERNIGHT
- Nikkei 225: 68,557.73 (+1.20%) — tech rally on SK Hynix spillover
- Hang Seng: 24,175.12 (+0.60%)
- Shanghai Composite: 3,996.16 (-1.00%)
- KOSPI: 6,806.93 (-8.95%) ⚠️ MAJOR SELLOFF — local regulatory concerns
Geopolitical Intel
ThinkCreate OSINT — Priority Intelligence
[LVL 5/10] March to July: What’s different as US-Iran fighting escalates again?
Mon, Jul 13 12:12 UTC — AlJazeera, 2 sources
Coords: 32.427, 53.688
After a brief lull, US-Iran hostilities have flared anew. Both sides exchanging fresh strikes in the Gulf region. Markets pricing in higher oil risk premia.
[LVL 5/10] Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Ramp Up Threats After New Strikes
Mon, Jul 13 13:26 UTC — NYT, 3 sources
Coords: 38.907, -77.036
Pentagon sources confirm multiple engagements over the past 48 hours. No major infrastructure damage yet, but rhetoric is escalating.
[LVL 4/10] Green forest fire notification in Australia
Mon, Jul 13 11:00 UTC — GDACS, 1 sources
Coords: -13.506, 142.075
Active wildfire in northern Queensland. Minimal threat to urban areas.
[LVL 4/10] Volcanic eruption ongoing for Kanlaon in Philippines
Fri, Jul 10 06:03 UTC — GDACS, 1 sources
Coords: 10.412, 123.132
Continued volcanic activity. Local evacuations in effect.
[LVL 3/10] What would it mean for Ukraine if it actually starts producing Patriot missiles?
Sun, Jul 12 17:08 EDT — NPR, 3 sources
Coords: 49.487, 31.272
Domestic Patriot production would mark a major shift in Ukraine’s defense industrial capacity. US-backed licensing deal reported near completion.
[LVL 3/10] Japan Builds Intelligence Agency It Hasn’t Had Since World War II
Mon, Jul 13 12:57 UTC — NYT, 1 sources
Coords: 61.524, 105.318
Historic shift: Japan establishing first dedicated intelligence agency since 1945. Reflects growing regional tensions with China and North Korea.
[LVL 3/10] Argentina weighs protest over British patrol ship’s passage to Chile
Mon, Jul 13 08:25 UTC — Mercopress, 3 sources
Coords: -38.416, -63.616
Diplomatic friction over territorial waters. Low escalation risk.
Defense Stocks (Live, ThinkCreate Global Markets Panel)
- RTX: $195.93 (+0.37%)
- LMT: $523.22 (+0.96%)
- NOC: $539.63 (+1.39%)
- GD: $375.06 (+0.12%)
- BA: $222.28 (-0.37%)
- PLTR: $126.79 (-1.74%)
Analyst Note: Defense primes rallying on renewed Iran tensions. Lockheed and Northrop leading on Patriot/missile defense exposure.
Commodities & Currencies
ENERGY
- WTI Crude: $73.67 (+3.16% / +$2.26) — geopolitical risk premia spike
- Brent: $75.89 (-0.54% prior close, lagging WTI rally)
- Natural Gas: $2.89 (-3.98%)
METALS
- Gold: $4,111.50 (-0.71%) — profit-taking after recent highs
- Silver: $59.98 (-1.26%)
- Copper: $6.28 (+0.31%)
CURRENCIES
- EUR/USD: 1.1418 (-0.14%)
- USD/JPY: 161.67 (-0.42%)
- GBP/USD: 0.7466 (+0.07%)
CRYPTO
- Bitcoin: $63,995.74 (+0.32%)
- Ethereum: $1,809.71 (+1.23%)
- Solana: $77.57 (+2.00%)
Live Data Snapshot (ThinkCreate Backend API)
- Commercial flights: 3,164 | Military: 291 | Private: 529
- Tracked/flagged aircraft: 1,186
- Vessels: 27,123 active
- Active satellites: 541
- GPS jamming events: 0
- Earthquakes (24h): 43
- Global incidents (GDELT): 752
Analyst Note: Military flight activity elevated near Gulf region. No anomalous jamming detected.
Earnings — TODAY (July 13, AMC)
Only small/mid caps reporting today. Major bank earnings start tomorrow.
| SYMBOL | COMPANY | TIME | EST EPS | MARKET CAP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMNR | Bitmine Immersion Technologies | AMC | 0.18 | 8.53B |
| FBK | FB Financial Corporation | AMC | 1.15 | 2.92B |
| AERO | Grupo Aeroméxico | AMC | -0.21 | 2.44B |
Earnings — TOMORROW (July 14, BMO)
BIG BANKS WEEK BEGINS
| SYMBOL | COMPANY | TIME | EST EPS | MARKET CAP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | Bank of America | BMO | TBD | ~$300B |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | BMO | TBD | ~$180B |
| C | Citigroup | BMO | TBD | ~$120B |
| FAST | Fastenal | BMO | TBD | ~$50B |
Consensus: Banks likely to beat modestly on net interest income, but guidance may be cautious given persistent inflation and commercial real estate exposure.
Economic Events This Week
Tuesday, July 14 — 8:30 AM ET
- CPI (June): Expected +0.5% MoM, +4.2% YoY
- Core CPI: Expected +0.2% MoM
⚠️ Key Watch: If CPI comes in hot (>4.3% YoY), Fed pause narrative weakens further. Market pricing in 70% chance of hold at July FOMC.
Bottom Line
Iran tensions + SK Hynix AI chip surge + bank earnings tomorrow = volatility watch.
Oil spiking on geopolitical risk. Defense primes benefiting. Tech mixed — semis rallying (SK Hynix +12.8%, NVIDIA +4%), but broader Nasdaq dipping on profit-taking. Big bank earnings tomorrow will set the tone for financial sector. CPI Tuesday could shift Fed expectations if it surprises either way.
Trade the setup: Long energy, long defense, watch banks for guidance cues.
Published: July 13, 2026 — 1:30 PM UTC