Broadcom Q3 2026 Earnings Recap
AMC September 2, 2026, reaction Thursday September 3 | by Ray
The Numbers
| Metric | Estimate | Reported | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 Revenue Guide | $35.03B | $34.8B | ❌ Miss |
| Q4 Margin Guide | 66.5% | 66% | ❌ Miss |
| FY27 AI Revenue Guidance | $100B (prior) | $115B | ✅ Raised |
| FY28 AI Revenue Guidance | — | $230B (implied 2x) | ✅ New |
Guidance Update
The headline: Broadcom’s AI revenue guide for FY27 was raised to $115B from a prior $100B, and management now expects that to roughly double again to $230B in FY28 — a jump from 10GW to 20GW of AI infrastructure capacity. Anthropic and OpenAI were flagged as the company’s largest customers in FY28, both projected to exceed Google’s scale.
Despite that structurally bullish multi-year framing, the Q4 revenue guide of $34.8B missed the $35.03B consensus, and margin guidance of 66% came in slightly below the 66.5% estimate.
What Happened
✅ Positives:
- Q3 results topped estimates
- FY27 AI revenue guide raised 15% ($100B → $115B)
- FY28 AI revenue guide implies a full doubling to $230B
- Anthropic/OpenAI confirmed as largest FY28 customers, ahead of Google
⚠️ Concerns:
- Q4 revenue guidance of $34.8B missed consensus
- Margin guide of 66% vs. 66.5% expected
- Stock reaction focused on near-term miss over long-term raise
Market Reaction
AVGO shares fell on the print as investors weighted the immediate Q4 guidance miss over the long-horizon AI revenue raise — a familiar pattern this earnings season where “the guide matters more than the beat.” GOOGL shares also traded lower Thursday on its own Q4 revenue guide of $34.8B vs. $35.03B est. (unrelated overlap in figures, separate company).
Bottom Line
Broadcom’s long-term AI infrastructure thesis just got materially bigger — a $230B FY28 AI revenue target with Anthropic and OpenAI as anchor customers is a structurally bullish signal for the entire AI capex chain (custom silicon, networking, power). But the near-term Q4 guidance miss is the headline risk investors are trading today; expect AVGO to consolidate around this guide until the next print resolves the tension between “next year’s TAM” and “next quarter’s number.”