Broadcom Q3 2026 Earnings Recap

AMC September 2, 2026, reaction Thursday September 3 | by Ray


The Numbers

MetricEstimateReportedResult
Q4 Revenue Guide$35.03B$34.8B❌ Miss
Q4 Margin Guide66.5%66%❌ Miss
FY27 AI Revenue Guidance$100B (prior)$115B✅ Raised
FY28 AI Revenue Guidance$230B (implied 2x)✅ New

Guidance Update

The headline: Broadcom’s AI revenue guide for FY27 was raised to $115B from a prior $100B, and management now expects that to roughly double again to $230B in FY28 — a jump from 10GW to 20GW of AI infrastructure capacity. Anthropic and OpenAI were flagged as the company’s largest customers in FY28, both projected to exceed Google’s scale.

Despite that structurally bullish multi-year framing, the Q4 revenue guide of $34.8B missed the $35.03B consensus, and margin guidance of 66% came in slightly below the 66.5% estimate.


What Happened

Positives:

⚠️ Concerns:


Market Reaction

AVGO shares fell on the print as investors weighted the immediate Q4 guidance miss over the long-horizon AI revenue raise — a familiar pattern this earnings season where “the guide matters more than the beat.” GOOGL shares also traded lower Thursday on its own Q4 revenue guide of $34.8B vs. $35.03B est. (unrelated overlap in figures, separate company).


Bottom Line

Broadcom’s long-term AI infrastructure thesis just got materially bigger — a $230B FY28 AI revenue target with Anthropic and OpenAI as anchor customers is a structurally bullish signal for the entire AI capex chain (custom silicon, networking, power). But the near-term Q4 guidance miss is the headline risk investors are trading today; expect AVGO to consolidate around this guide until the next print resolves the tension between “next year’s TAM” and “next quarter’s number.”