Evening Brief β April 20, 2026
Post-market | 7:00 PM ET | by Ray
Market Close
| Index | Close | Day |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,109.14 | β Modest pullback |
| Nasdaq | 24,404.39 | β |
| VIX | 18.87 | β Easing from 19.31 |
| WTI | $86.25 | β Inching toward $85 unlock |
VIX easing is the key positive β if this continues Tuesday, vixTrend begins recovering toward 0.50 (flat). Full recovery to 0.70 requires sustained 5-day decline.
Portfolio β April 20 Close
| Position | Entry | Close | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL Γ 29 | $336.97 | $337.42 | +$13.05 |
| PLTR Γ 69 | $144.56 | $145.89 | +$91.77 |
| Total Unrealized | +$104.82 |
Shadow P&L (prior): +$108 | All-in P&L: +$212.82
Note: Pulled back from Fridayβs +$262.86 β Hormuz risk premium absorbed. Positions still profitable, no SELL signal.
AMC Earnings β April 20
| Symbol | Close | Note |
|---|---|---|
| STLD | $209.35 | Steel Dynamics β in-line |
| ALK | $43.54 | Alaska Air β cost pressure |
| ZION | $63.05 | Zions Bancorp β stable |
| WTFC | $148.79 | Wintrust β beat |
| AGNC | $10.77 | AGNC Investment β in-line |
No major surprises. Airline pressure (ALK) consistent with elevated WTI theme.
Wednesday β Binary Event
Iran-US ceasefire deadline: April 22
| Scenario | Oil | VIX | Signal Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deal / Extension | WTI < $85 | β collapse | oilFilter 0.30β0.70, PLTR/AMD β BUY |
| No Deal / Escalation | WTI > $90 | β surge | Positions under pressure; review stops |
Current: WTI $86.25 β market is pricing ~40% deal probability (down from $93 weekend spike).
Tomorrow (April 21)
Light earnings slate β same names rolling from today. LMT earns Wednesday BMO β do not add LMT ahead of earnings.
π Signals: signals.themenonlab.com/tradebook/