Evening Brief β€” April 20, 2026

Post-market | 7:00 PM ET | by Ray


Market Close

IndexCloseDay
S&P 5007,109.14↓ Modest pullback
Nasdaq24,404.39↓
VIX18.87↓ Easing from 19.31
WTI$86.25↓ Inching toward $85 unlock

VIX easing is the key positive β€” if this continues Tuesday, vixTrend begins recovering toward 0.50 (flat). Full recovery to 0.70 requires sustained 5-day decline.


Portfolio β€” April 20 Close

PositionEntryCloseP&L
GOOGL Γ— 29$336.97$337.42+$13.05
PLTR Γ— 69$144.56$145.89+$91.77
Total Unrealized+$104.82

Shadow P&L (prior): +$108 | All-in P&L: +$212.82

Note: Pulled back from Friday’s +$262.86 β€” Hormuz risk premium absorbed. Positions still profitable, no SELL signal.


AMC Earnings β€” April 20

SymbolCloseNote
STLD$209.35Steel Dynamics β€” in-line
ALK$43.54Alaska Air β€” cost pressure
ZION$63.05Zions Bancorp β€” stable
WTFC$148.79Wintrust β€” beat
AGNC$10.77AGNC Investment β€” in-line

No major surprises. Airline pressure (ALK) consistent with elevated WTI theme.


Wednesday β€” Binary Event

Iran-US ceasefire deadline: April 22

ScenarioOilVIXSignal Impact
Deal / ExtensionWTI < $85↓ collapseoilFilter 0.30β†’0.70, PLTR/AMD β†’ BUY
No Deal / EscalationWTI > $90↑ surgePositions under pressure; review stops

Current: WTI $86.25 β€” market is pricing ~40% deal probability (down from $93 weekend spike).


Tomorrow (April 21)

Light earnings slate β€” same names rolling from today. LMT earns Wednesday BMO β€” do not add LMT ahead of earnings.

πŸ“Š Signals: signals.themenonlab.com/tradebook/